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An own-brand launch decision · Edition 7 · 2026

Sports Supplements: the decision file for launching an own brand in the EU

Written for the founder and the investment committee weighing an own-brand sports supplement line in the EU (based in Spain), built with a co-packer and sold across D2C, marketplace, retail and gyms. This is not a nutrition guide or a list of what to take: it is the folder on which the launch is approved or rejected, with the financial model inside and the cost worked out tub by tub.

180 pages · Edition 7Five archetypes with a financial modelNPV · IRR · payback · break-even · tornado · scenariosEU, based in Spain · euros · 2026 · in English
€3,499single licence · PDF
  • Instant-download PDF (180 pages)
  • Five launch archetypes with a verdict each, all run through the same financial engine
  • The full tub-by-tub cost, with the official rate cards almost nobody puts in the spreadsheet
  • The claims straitjacket: what you may say on the label and in the ad, verified against the full EU Register
  • The ingredient–goal–evidence–dose matrix on the AIS and IOC frameworks: what works, at what dose, on what evidence
  • Anti-doping exposure under strict liability: real cases, cross-contamination and the cost of certifying the batch
  • Two binary tests with a numeric threshold: one phone call decides whether your case exists
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What you will see inside

Real PDF pages: cover, executive summary, charts and competitive tables.

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What's included

It tells you whether to launch, with which product, in which channel, and what can sink your margin

A decision report, not an overview of the fitness sector. Every figure comes out of a financial engine, and every decisive claim carries its source, its date and the confidence we place in it.

The most obvious product is the one that behaves worst

Everybody starts with the same tub, because it is the one that sells most. The report rebuilds its real cost from the raw material —which rose 85 % in four months— and shows why that is not the point: the market's price floor is not set by a competitor who needs to make money on the tub, but by someone using it as a loss leader. You do not compete against that floor with a new brand. The cost matrix tells you, product by product, where you actually stand in that picture before you sign with a co-packer.

Of the whole arsenal, almost nothing may say what it is for

Regulation 1924/2006 is not a style guide: it is a straitjacket, and it decides your label, your product page and your advertising. We verified the full EU Register, claim by claim, and the result surprises even people who have spent years in the sector: of the entire arsenal on the market, only two actives may legally say what they are for. The report brings what you may write, in what exact wording, what is forbidden to say even when true, and how that reorders the decision of which product to launch —because a product that cannot explain itself costs twice as much to sell.

The channel everybody picks takes a third of the sale price

The typical business plan says "we sell on the marketplace and on D2C at the same time". The report runs each channel through its own cost waterfall with the official rate cards —Amazon Rate Card, logistics, returns, Ecoembes 2026, the cost of acquiring the customer— and shows what is left at the end of each. The conclusion reorders the go-to-market: the channel that looks like the short cut takes a share of the price most founders do not discover until year two. All four are there: D2C, marketplace, retail and gyms, each with its contribution margin.

The effective dose, and why almost nobody uses it

The ingredient–goal–evidence–dose matrix crosses every active with its goal, the level of evidence under the AIS and IOC frameworks, and the dose at which it actually works. Then it holds that against the real market: 98.2 % of leading pre-workouts fall short of the effective dose of the ingredient they advertise most (Jagim, 2019). There is a positioning decision there and a cost decision, and they are the same one: dosing properly gets paid for in the cost sheet. The report puts both sides of that calculation on the table.

Strict liability: the risk that never makes it into the business plan

If an athlete tests positive, the athlete answers for it —and your brand answers next, in court and in the press. Cross-contamination at the co-packer's plant is not a hypothesis: the report brings the real cases, how they happened, and the cost of certifying the batch against programmes such as the Cologne List. If you sell to gyms, to clubs or to anyone who competes, this section is not optional: it changes which co-packer you can use and what every tub costs you.

Five different launches, one single financial engine

There is no single verdict for "starting a supplement brand": there are five archetypes, and the same engine separates them —two make it through and others do not. All five run through a year-by-year P&L, NPV, IRR, payback, break-even and a sensitivity tornado, with the assumptions auditable one by one so your CFO can redo the numbers, argue with them and break them. Plus two binary tests with a numeric threshold: one call to the co-packer and one to the raw-material supplier tell you whether your case exists, before you spend anything.

The market, with prices captured on a date

The SKU benchmarking does not quote consultancy reports: it collects real competitor prices captured on 16 July 2026, with the date on every data point so you know exactly what is ageing. On top of that, the filed accounts of Applied Nutrition, THG, Glanbia and Bulk —the margins that are really made in this sector, published by the companies themselves in their own accounts, not estimated by us.

Experts tried to destroy the report (and it cost us dearly)

Before publishing we put the thesis through an adversarial review briefed explicitly to refute it. It caught us applying two different yardsticks, and fixing that cost us 56 % of the NPV of our own recommendation. It is published in the report, with its before and after. Every claim that moves the verdict goes into a register of 36 traced claims, each with its source, its date and the confidence we place in it —saying so when the confidence is low. With direct links so you can verify it yourself. All inside the PDF.

Contents

From the decision to launch to the first-12-months roadmap

01 I · Decision and method: the question is not "which product do I launch?", but "what may I say, at what cost and in which channel"
02 I · The buyer and the scope: an own brand in the EU through a co-packer, based in Spain
03 I · How the verdict is built: the five archetypes, the financial engine and the auditable assumptions
04 II · What to formulate: the ingredient–goal–evidence–dose matrix
05 II · The evidence frameworks: AIS and IOC, and what each level really means
06 II · Effective dose versus market dose: what the leaders actually put in the tub
07 II · Formats and formulation: where the cost sits and where the differentiation sits
08 III · Safety: the profile of each active, populations and limits
09 III · Anti-doping: strict liability, how a batch gets contaminated, and the real cases
10 III · Certifying the batch: the programmes, the Cologne List and what it really costs
11 IV · EU regulation: the claims straitjacket of Regulation 1924/2006
12 IV · The EU Register, claim by claim: what you may write and in what wording
13 IV · Novel food, food supplements and national fragmentation
14 IV · Labelling, advertising and influencers: where compliance breaks
15 V · The market: capturable size, demand and the segments that actually buy
16 V · The competition: SKU benchmarking with prices captured on a date
17 V · The big players' accounts: Applied Nutrition, THG, Glanbia and Bulk, by their own numbers
18 V · The channels: D2C, marketplace, retail and gyms, each with its cost waterfall
19 VI · The full tub-by-tub cost: co-packer, raw material, packaging, official rate cards
20 VI · The model: year-by-year P&L and the verdict of the five archetypes
21 VI · Sensitivity: the tornado, the scenario matrix and the break-even point
22 VI · The two binary tests: the thresholds that a phone call resolves
23 VII · The adversarial review: the case against this report, and what it changed
24 VII · The risks: the matrix with its watchable thresholds and review triggers
25 VII · The roadmap: from the decision to the first pallet, twelve months and their gates
26 VII · Conclusions: the verdict, firm
27 VIII · The claims register: the 36 that sustain the verdict, with source and confidence
28 VIII · The auditable assumptions: value, unit, evidence, source, date, confidence and sensitivity
A VIII · Annexes: glossary, co-packer directory, standards and sources
Preview

A look inside before you buy

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The sample includes the cover and the contents, so you can see the full scope of the report. The analysis, the financial model and the verdicts are in the full edition.

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Frequently asked

Before you buy

Who exactly is it written for?

For the founder or the investment committee weighing the launch of an own-brand sports supplement line in the EU —the base case is a company based in Spain— manufacturing through a co-packer and selling across D2C, marketplace, retail and gyms. It is a business decision report: it approves or rejects a launch, with the financial model inside.

Who is this report NOT for?

Not for a consumer looking for what to take: it is not a supplementation guide and it recommends nothing to anyone for their training. Not for a gym deciding what to stock behind the counter: the report reasons from the brand, not from the point of sale. And not for a sports physician or dietitian after clinical literature: here the evidence is used to decide what to formulate and what may be said on the label, not to advise a patient. It is a business decision report, and only that.

Does the report recommend launching or not?

It depends on the archetype, which is why there are five. The same financial engine separates them: some make it through and others do not, and each verdict comes with its conditions and its break-even point. There are also two binary tests with a numeric threshold —one on the co-packer and one on the raw material— that a single phone call resolves: if your case does not clear those two thresholds, the report tells you before you spend anything.

What format is it, and what do I receive?

A 179-page PDF, instantly downloadable. Everything is inside the PDF: the analysis, the evidence matrix, the claims straitjacket, the financial model with the year-by-year P&L, the scenario matrix and the auditable assumptions one by one. There are no separate annexes or loose files: with the assumptions table inside, your CFO can redo the numbers in their own spreadsheet.

What currency does the report reason in, and what does it cost?

The financial model reasons in euros (€), because the base case is a brand based in Spain selling into the EU, and that is the currency in which it bears its costs and sets its prices. The report sells for €3,499 per single licence, as an instant-download PDF.

What languages is it available in?

The report is available in Spanish, English, German and French. Each version is a full edition, not a summary: the same analysis, the same financial model and the same verdicts, adapted to the language.

What if the market moves after I buy it?

It will move, and the report is built expecting it. Competitor prices are captured with their date (16 July 2026), so you know exactly what is ageing. And the risk matrix does not stop at describing: every risk carries its watchable threshold and its review trigger, including the input price that weighs most in the model, which has a threshold you can follow week by week in a public source. The report does not hand you a snapshot: it hands you what to watch and when to decide again.

What is the adversarial review?

Before publishing, we put the report's thesis to the explicit task of destroying it, angle by angle. It caught us applying two different yardsticks, and fixing that cost us 56 % of the NPV of our own recommendation: the verdict changed. It is published in the report, with its before and after, including our own mistakes. It is the part that gives most confidence in the final verdict.

Take the decision to the committee with the numbers already run

Five archetypes with a verdict, the real tub-by-tub cost, the claims straitjacket verified against the EU Register, and the financial model so you can redo it with your own numbers.

Buy the report · €3,499